Friday, April 1, 2011

1.21 Billion and counting : Need a detailed analysis of the Census data

Am trying to get my hands onto the new census data. While I've read the headline stuff that appears in the newspapers, I think it is good for people (who're interested / who've the inclination) to review the data and try to come up with their own conclusions.

Just as any statistics that is an aggregation, am convinced that the headlines do not do justice to the real trends / swings that tend to be regional and time specific.

For example, let us consider the sex-ratio. While the overall trend looks promising, we need to consider this w.r.t the fact that from a timing perspective. The "sex determination" tests came into popularity / notoriety only in the latter half of the nineties. The period from 1994-2003 when the Supreme court finally imposed the ban was more or less a free-for-all @ the smaller clinics.

We should read this in the context that the 0-6 year old growth trend has shown a negative rate of -3.8% for females. That falls into the prime "ban" implementation period between 2003-2004 through till 2010 !

I wonder what other nasty (or otherwise) surprises are in store ?